Service Plays Monday 11/23/09

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SportsBetsNow

MNF- Game of the Month
4 units Texans -4

 

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HILTON GAMEDAY SPORTS

#435 - 1*TENNESSEE+4' vs Houston

 

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JB's Computer Pick

Monday, November 23rd, 2009
Tennessee at Houston, 8:30 PM Tennessee Titans +4½

 

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SPORTS INSIGHTS

NFL Week 11 – Games to Watch

The NFL Marketwatch column takes a truly unique approach to sports betting. We don't handicap games – we handicap the sports betting marketplace. We utilize the betting tools and statistics found on SportsInsights.com to pinpoint the week's most profitable betting opportunities.

Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans

One of our more colorful offshore contacts circled this game early in the week. We spoke to this line-maker and he was carrying on about some of his sportsbook's sharpest bettors piling onto Houston early in the week. The line opened at Houston -3.5 but moved to -4.5 at most books by Monday! SportsInsights flagged this move as "steam moves" early in the week.

Our contact said that Tennessee was attracting some Square money because they reeled off three wins in a row. However, the wins have been against the likes of mediocre teams like Jacksonville, San Francisco, and Buffalo. The last win was a blow-out win of 41-17 over Buffalo. Needless to say, our guy thinks the Titans are overrated right now. On the other hand, Houston lost a very tough decision to undefeated Indianapolis -- at Indy -- by a score of 20-17, last week.

Houston, with its 5-4 record, looks a bit undervalued, while Tennessee is overrated with its current three-game winning streak. Let's "buy low" and "sell high" and take a "surprising" favorite as a contrarian play ("surprising" because we don't often find value on favorites).

Houston Texans -4.5

Games to Watch (17-13, 56.7%)
Houston Texans -4.5

 

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Randall the Handle

Titans @ Texans

Texans are undependable and when you consider that they lost home games already to the mediocre Jaguars and Jets, it would be foolish to give away points to a surging Titans squad. Tennessee lost to Houston earlier and is now afforded a national stage to make amends.TAKING: Tennessee +4 ½

 

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Tuley the Tout 11/22

*Titans +5 vs. Texans...Tennessee playing like last year; Texans still not reliable as fave

 

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Ferringo

MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 48.5 Tennessee at Houston (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 23)
1.5-Unit Play. Take #436 Houston (-4.5) over Tennessee (8:30 p.m., Monday, Nov. 23)

 

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DOC'S SPORTS

4 Unit Play. #135 Take Tennessee +5 over Houston (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) Tennessee 28, Houston 27.

 

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CKO

11 TENNESSEE over *Houston
Late Score Forecast:
TENNESSEE 31 - *Houston 23
(Monday, November 23)

 

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Vegas Vick

Titans (+5) over TEXANS
We have been riding Tennessee for the last two and don't plan to get off the money train right now. Coming into the bye week, the Titans were 0-6 and going nowhere. After the bye, Vince Young took over for Kerry Collins, and Tennessee has won three in a row, covered all three, winning by an average of 16 points per game. And not to belabor the homecoming angle, but guess where Mr. Young was born? Yup, Houston.

 

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Pointwise Phone Service

2* HOUSTON

 

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DAVE HOCHMAN

436 Texans -5

 

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DCI

NFL

Monday, November 23, 2009
HOUSTON 28, Tennessee 20

 

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NFL DUNKEL

MONDAY, NOVEMBER 23

Game 435-436: Tennessee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 134.417; Houston 136.049
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Houston by 5; 48
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+5); Over

 

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NFL LONG SHEET

Week 11

Monday, November 23

TENNESSEE (3 - 6) at HOUSTON (5 - 4) - 11/23/2009, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

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NFL SHORT SHEET

Week 11

Monday, 11/23/2009

TENNESSEE at HOUSTON, 8:35 PM ET ESPN
TENNESSEE: 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
HOUSTON: 12-3 Over vs. division

 

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NFL WRITE-UP

Week 11 NFL games

Monday, November 23

Titans (3-6) @ Texans (5-4)-- Much like McNabb, Vince Young comes home, but he is on roll, leading Titans to three straight wins, scoring 38.3 ppg (nine TDs on last 31 drives with one turnover) after they had no TDs on 22 drives with seven turnovers in Collins' last two starts. Underdogs are 6-2 vs spread in AFC South games so far this season. Texans had bye last week; they've won three of last four games, are 2-2 at home. Texans (+7) won first meeting 34-31 in Nashville, despite being outrushed 240-63; Schaub was 25-39/357 passing, averaging 9.2 yards/attempt. Under is 4-1-1 in last six Houston games, 2-6 in last eight Titan tilts.

 

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NFL ADDITIONAL

Week 11

Monday, November 23

8:30 PM
TENNESSEE vs. HOUSTON
Tennessee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 8 games
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Houston is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Tennessee

 

[TreeBarkley]

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